
Almost three weeks of war and nearly a million displaced people. The axe has fallen. Displaced people who have essentially chosen the capital, already stifled in a Lebanon bleeding economically and, above all, devoid of political will to change a status quo that has become totally obsolete. A state of affairs that not only hinders progress but is, let's say it without ambiguity, responsible for all our ills. No country in the world, without a strong or at least respected state, can exist. Today, it is essentially the Shiites who are displaced. The very people that Hezbollah claims to protect. And the most frightening thing is that, destitute in tents and in the rain, many continue to swear allegiance to this party which has no god but itself. One can question the effectiveness of the indoctrination exercised by this militia, but it primarily reveals a political fact: the military entity and the political entity mutually nourish each other and regain strength in a context where the State, incapable of enforcing its sovereignty, finds itself powerless to regulate or integrate an entire community. In Lebanon, displacement is never a simple logistical problem. It's not just about housing, feeding, caring. It's about containment. Containing old tensions, latent fears, fractures that we have become accustomed to circumventing rather than resolving. And as often, what we postpone eventually returns, but worse. No one has ever eradicated anyone. It is therefore not a question of excluding Shiites from the equation, but of knowing how to integrate this community and its ideology within a currently fluctuating geography. Because beyond humanitarian reception, there is a tangible suspicion — which did not come from nowhere — and the fear of making room for someone whose activity is unknown, and who, by being a target, could cause what is trivially called collateral damage. This climate of distrust can only provoke sedition and close doors. Yet, the spirit of solidarity of the Lebanese has never faltered. We saw it in 2006, then after October 7th. But today, it faces an unprecedented obstacle: the fear of being exposed. Furthermore, while Lebanon displays a fragile coexistence, it has never truly shed the divisions created by the civil war. Certainly, technically, there is no longer an East or a West, but in people's minds, there is. And these divisions are rooted in a system of eighteen communities attempting to cohabit, each carrying its cultures, its narratives, and its sometimes diametrically opposed ideologies. These divisions have never been truly integrated into the state fabric. They have been managed, patched up, arranged, but they remain a legacy that each crisis reopens. There is also the immediate need for survival, to save what remains of the remnants of a life too shortened by expectations that struggle to emerge. The absence of citizenship in Lebanon, complicated by this communal system, is often rightly mentioned. But what this million displaced people highlights is that this absence of citizenship has concrete consequences: an inability to integrate segments of the population, a state paralyzed by its inertia, or even ineptitude. A million displaced people to house in dilapidated and crumbling infrastructures: a humanitarian and health catastrophe already underway. And the slogans, allegiances, rumors, and conspiracy theories, all this exacerbates the problem, but also serves to absolve the state of what it does not want to undertake. It's not about waking up and, with a magic wand, executing a decision. It's about starting to show an act of goodwill, even if it were to end in failure. Every war ends around a negotiating table. Will that of 2026 see the painful birth of a nascent state? Because by constantly managing in emergencies, postponing decisions, compromising with the unacceptable, we don't just mismanage. We get used to the idea that there is no alternative. And that, perhaps, is the most dangerous. Because at this rate, soon there won't be much left to displace. Nor to save. Any minister, however well-intentioned, cannot successfully implement their strategy if hindered by the hierarchy of their ministry. The systematic cleansing of institutions has never truly begun, and yet it is the key to the solution: a solid state that sanctions when necessary, that regulates the proper functioning of the country. For whether we like it or not, we must accept each other to keep this country... unless we have already decided to lose it.





