Levant Time logo

Articles

News feature image
Analyze

Have We Become Stupider?

Or Are We Experiencing a Transformation in the Structure of Knowledge?
Author portrait
By Mona Fayad
Published Sep 5, 2026 - 20:01
The question “Has the world become stupider?” frequently returns in contemporary debates about digital media, search engines, and social networks. On the surface, it seems simple. Yet behind it lies a deeper issue concerning the very nature of knowledge: how it is produced, how it is transmitted, and how it is consumed. Perhaps “Have we become stupider?” is not the most accurate question. A better one might be: Is knowledge still being transmitted in a way that allows it to be understood and made productive? Do most readers still go back to the original texts? Or do they turn instead to summaries and to what is said about those texts through material circulating among readers? One key to understanding this phenomenon lies in the work of British psychologist Frederic Bartlett, who conducted a series of experiments in the 1930s on what he called “serial reproduction.” In these experiments, one person would be asked to hear a story and then retell it to someone else, who would in turn retell it to a third person, and so on. The results were striking: with each new transmission, the story was not conveyed as it had originally been told, but was reformulated. Some details were omitted, others were exaggerated, and still others were replaced by elements that better suited the recipient’s background, experience, and culture. By the time the chain had passed through enough people, the original story had become something entirely different. This simple model reveals a fundamental truth: memory is not a neutral container, but a mechanism of reconstruction. When knowledge passes through multiple intermediaries, it is not “preserved” but “reproduced.” Here we begin to see the resemblance to our contemporary world, and with it the fear that we may be becoming stupider. In the age of digital media, knowledge no longer travels through oral transmission, but through chains of mediation: an article is summarized, then quoted, then reposted as a short post, before being further reduced to a sentence or a headline. In this context, we might borrow a metaphor that appeared in a journalistic text: a library whose books are gradually replaced by summaries, then by summaries of summaries, until the reader is left facing layer upon layer of reduction. We might call this the “raccoon chain”: the raccoon does not read the original, but rummages through what remains of it. It is worth clarifying that the choice of the “raccoon” is not arbitrary. The metaphor symbolically condenses a cognitive condition that is becoming increasingly entrenched. This animal, which lives on the fringes of cities and rummages through garbage bins, does not produce its own food but feeds on the leftovers of what others have produced. Despite its practical intelligence and its ability to pry things apart, pick through them, and seize what is useful, it does not understand what lies before it. It treats things simply as material available for immediate use. This is what knowledge begins to look like in an age of serial reduction: texts are shortened, then shortened again, until all that remains are scraps of meaning, rearranged and circulated without any genuine connection to their source. At that point, we have not merely moved away from the original. We have entered a new phase in the production of information or knowledge, in which the cognitive actor is no longer a reader or a thinker, but a collector of fragments of meaning who redistributes them in forms designed for rapid consumption. “Raccoon culture,” then, is not merely a description of superficiality. It is an accurate description of the degradation of the knowledge chain itself: from creation to summary, from understanding to formal processing, from ideas to something resembling only their faded trace. Yet this phenomenon cannot be understood apart from the technological structure that governs it. Here Marshall McLuhan becomes relevant, with his famous formulation: “The medium is the message.” The problem lies not only in content, but also in the form through which that content is transmitted. Contemporary digital media do not simply convey information. They reshape it according to the logic of speed, condensation, and fragmentation. Long texts become unsuitable for consumption, while an idea becomes acceptable only if it can be compressed into a few shareable lines. This transformation produces a striking paradox: we live in a time when access to knowledge is no longer difficult. It is excessively easy. And with that excessive ease comes what might be called a “cognitive illusion”: reading a brief passage or a quick summary can be enough to make a person feel that they have grasped an idea. Yet this feeling of possession is not necessarily accompanied by deep understanding, or by the ability to reconstruct or critique that knowledge. This is where we encounter what might be called the “semi-educated”: people who possess the signs of knowledge but not its structure, its vocabulary but not its internal logic. The problem becomes even more complex when viewed through the lens of attention. Instead of remaining in a state of sustained concentration, as in traditional reading or prolonged reflection, the mind now exists under continuous informational bombardment: notifications, clips, headlines, and successive waves of content. This does not merely fragment attention. It reshapes it according to a logic of constant jumping between short units of meaning, rather than the gradual and cumulative construction of an idea. I am reminded here of a joke that we used to tell and that was widely circulated during the days of popular demonstrations. It vividly illustrates the process of reduction and reshaping of content. After the occupation of Palestine, many popular demonstrations took to the streets chanting, “Down with the Balfour Declaration!” The joke was that by the end of the demonstration, the slogan had become, in Arabic, “Let one fall from above,” a completely different phrase that retained something of the original slogan’s rhythm and sound. This image may help bring us closer to what happens in everyday language when knowledge is transformed into short messages that are collectively repeated. A demonstration begins with a precise political slogan. Through repetition, collective immersion, and sonic rhythm, it gradually turns into a completely different formula. The new version may preserve the rhythm and emotional charge of the original, while losing its meaning and original significance. What remains is no longer the meaning, but the emotional energy of the phrase. Here, in another form, we encounter what Bartlett observed: what matters is not merely what was said, but how it was retold and how it was reinterpreted within a changing social context. If we bring these strands together, we might say that what we are experiencing today is not so much a “collapse of intelligence” as a transformation in the conditions under which intelligence operates. The human mind has not changed radically, but the environment in which it functions has changed profoundly: from an environment that allowed slow accumulation to one that imposes the rapid and fragmented reproduction of knowledge. This transformation creates a permanent tension between two kinds of thinking: reflective thought, which requires time, and rapid thought, which demands an immediate response. Seen in this light, the question “Have we become stupider?” is partly misleading. It may be more accurate to say that we are increasingly exposed to conditions that make deep thinking less stable, or less possible, and knowledge more vulnerable to fragmentation and recycling. As for stupidity, if the term can be used, it may not be a quality of the mind at all, but rather a side effect and a characteristic of the cultural structure that has emerged. It is a technology that reshapes our relationship with the world. Thus, rather than seeing this as a decline in human capacities, we might understand it as a transformation in the “knowledge environment”: an environment in which it has become easy to know something, but harder to truly understand it in depth.
Opinion
Author portrait
By Youssef Mouawad - Published Sep 5, 2026 - 13:25
News feature image
In 2010, Israel violently intercepted the Mavi Marmara, a Turkish ship chartered by a humanitarian NGO to bring aid to the Gaza Strip, which was under Israeli blockade at the time. This was the last straw, and the incident brought the simmering hostility between Erdogan's government and the Jewish state out into the open. (AFP)
The war has not yet ceased in our south, and already it threatens to break out among our neighbors. In other words, we live on borrowed time, lurching from one conflict to the next. And for good reason! The bombing of a Syrian base very nearly escalated into an all-out clash between Ankara and Tel Aviv. That was on August 18, and Benjamin Netanyahu didn't mince his words: his country would not tolerate a Turkish military foothold that could spread into southern Syria. The warning was all the more forceful given that eight strikes had targeted the Abu al-Dhuhur air base, just 70 kilometers from the Turkish border. It's worth recalling, too, that since the fall of Bashar al-Assad in December 2024, Erdogan has become the chief mentor of the new Syria under Ahmed al-Sharaa, helping rebuild its armed forces and turning it into a strategic partner. This is no longer Hafez al-Assad's Syria Was it this renewed tension between Ankara and Tel Aviv that prompted a meeting between Syria's top diplomat, Assaad Chaibani, and Mossad chief Roman Gofman, in Jordan on August 23? Yet this quiet parley did not spark outrage across the Arab world the way Anwar al-Sadat's surprise visit to Israel did in 1977. A taboo was officially broken—and indeed, who would have imagined such talks taking place under the Baathist regime? Israel might have been expected to welcome this, but contrary to expectations, it halted neither its airstrikes nor its territorial incursions, as seen on August 27 in Quneitra. The fact is, things have changed. Under Hafez al-Assad, Syria was a regional power that, while not exactly formidable, was feared by its immediate neighbors, Arab or otherwise. No one wanted to pick a fight with it, which allowed it to pursue, within certain limits, an assertive foreign policy that often bordered on provocation. As a result, thanks to the autonomy it exercised and the room to maneuver it granted itself, Syria had become, at least geographically, a buffer zone between an "Erdoganist" Turkey flaunting its unabashed brand of Islam on one side, and Israel, a state Jewish to its core, on the other. But now, in a country worn down by Baathist mismanagement and ravaged by years of civil war, Turkey has begun staking its claims—and will inevitably find itself face to face with an Israel that occupies part of Syrian territory. What can we expect? Given the outsized egos of both Netanyahu and Erdogan, and assuming both leaders remain in power, we should brace for an epic showdown across Syrian, Lebanese, Jordanian, or even other territories. This will be a fight of feints and dodges, of underhanded tactics as well as head-on attacks, close combat, and rising tensions right up to the breaking point. And this despite a September 2025 report from the Congressional Research Service concluding that direct confrontation between Turkey and Israel remains unlikely, precisely because both states are well aware of the cost such a war would entail. Still, in the realm of conflict studies, leaders and other elites don't always act rationally! All the more so since, in the eyes of Israeli observers, the slogan now popular in Anatolia—"Make Turkey great again"—hardly reassures the Zionist state. Washington will find it increasingly difficult to contain or keep apart two adversaries already gearing up for battle. Turkey, the new Iran? Yes, that's one hypothesis, but only in a face-off with Israel, since Syria has overnight become a zone where 'two security perimeters overlap' — the Turkish and the Israeli, the Muslim and the Jewish. And it can't be ruled out that Shiite militancy, that mobilizer of "proxies," might end up allying itself, even if only temporarily, with a 'Muslim Brotherhood version' of political Islam championed by Ankara! So we would have, against all odds, a Hezbollah backed by its former enemy, Ahmad al-Sharaa, an Islamist who emerged from Jabhat al-Nusra and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham! Against a common adversary, a reversal of alliances is always legitimate and opportune. But this would only be a tactical alliance, dictated by the exigencies of the moment, one that couldn't presume anything about the future. With Arab nationalism now out of the picture, Turkey won't settle for economically capturing the Syrian market of 25 million consumers: it will want to wield political influence in Damascus, and to that end will deploy its military and security apparatus. Since the shaky power of the Syrian president can't fulfill certain sovereign functions or oversee the various branches of the state, it will inevitably turn to the expertise of its northern neighbor. Does this mean Turkey will get sucked into the spiral of 'announced belligerence'? Everything points that way, and we can already see the early signs of a spiral reminiscent of the US involvement in Vietnam under Lyndon Johnson. Indeed, if the Syrian state intends to rebuild itself, it will first need an army capable of quelling the centrifugal tendencies of the Alawites, the Druze, and other factions calling for the country's breakup. And it's up to Ankara to provide that and to bolster the central authority based in Damascus. But Israel, which has gotten into bad habits in Syria and intends to keep its freedom of aerial action there, cannot tolerate an army built along NATO lines that could serve as a proxy for a neo-Ottoman venture. And Lebanon, from primary stage to secondary stage? A new stage is now set for a new script that will define new rules of the game! What will become of Hezbollah, caught in a trap? Well, in that scenario, it could benefit, even if only partly, from Damascus's logistical support — support it has sorely lacked since the fall of Bashar al-Assad. And perhaps, through a shift in the tectonic plates, Lebanon would move from being the initial stage to being merely a secondary stage of a regional conflict. But frankly, that would do us a lot of good!
Today's Essential
Author portrait
By LevantTime . - Published Sep 5, 2026 - 00:55
News feature image
The ICRC convoy carrying the released civilians left the area occupied by Israel in southern Lebanon and traveled to the point marking the start of the zone controlled by the Lebanese authorities. (AFP)
The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) announced on Friday that it had transferred four more people released by Israel to Lebanon, a day after the release of a first civilian. They are three Lebanese nationals and two Syrians, according to the ICRC. This is the first time such an operation has taken place since negotiations between Lebanon and Israel began in April under US auspices. During the last round of talks in August, Beirut had requested the release of a first group of its nationals captured by Israel in southern Lebanon, where Israel is at war with the pro-Iranian Hezbollah. Their relatives estimate their number at around thirty, including fighters from the Islamist movement. In a statement, Lebanese President Joseph Aoun thanked the United States and the ICRC, saying the release "confirmed the soundness of the position" taken by Lebanon, which is engaged in negotiations with Israel that Hezbollah rejects. On Thursday, the United States praised "the government of Israel and the government of Lebanon for demonstrating good faith through these initial steps," expressing hope that this would "serve as a foundation for broader discussions on other civilian matters." The two countries are set to hold another round of negotiations in September, though the date has not yet been set. According to the Israeli prime minister's office, Thursday's announcement "follows efforts by Israel and Lebanon to locate and repatriate the remains of Jewish community leaders who were kidnapped and killed in Lebanon" between 1984 and 1986. Israeli strikes intensify On the ground, Israeli strikes killed three people and wounded 23 others on Friday in southern and eastern Lebanon. Israel stepped up its strikes in the region on Friday, after announcing Thursday evening that it had taken control of the Ali Taher mountain ridge, which had served as a strategic position for the pro-Iranian Hezbollah and overlooks Nabatiyeh, among other areas. The army will now reinforce its positions there in order to "prevent the enemy from retaking the area," said Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz. A strike also hit the Tyre region, particularly the village of Rmadiyé, according to the National News Agency (NNA). For Trump, the war in Iran is "small potatoes" Regarding the war in Iran, US President Donald Trump sought on Friday to downplay its impact on the United States ahead of the crucial midterm elections. "A lot of people aren't calling it a war. I call it a military conflict, because it's small potatoes for us. It's not a big deal. We did Venezuela, and we did that," he told reporters in the Oval Office when asked about his vice president, JD Vance, who had said the day before that he didn't want to call the conflict a war. With fuel prices surging because of the war and threatening to cost Donald Trump's Republicans their majority in Congress in November's midterm elections, his administration is working to downplay the scale of the conflict. According to the president, the United States is carrying out "targeted strikes," insisting that it is "not currently engaged in fighting." He also claimed that the United States controlled the Strait of Hormuz and had wiped out Iran's armed forces. "What we've accomplished is remarkable. We took control of Venezuela, and we've essentially taken control of Iran," he said.
More Articles
Sort By: NewestOldest
Framework agreement: the State's victory over chaos

Every time Lebanon edges closer to a serious attempt at restructuring its relationship with its surroundings and with itself, a ready-made narrative resurfaces, reducing every negotiation process to a matter of 'surrender.' This label is no longer a simple political disagreement — it has become a tool for systematically blocking any process that could rehabilitate the very notion of statehood. Even more troubling, it is used to strip the state of its own legitimacy whenever it performs its natural role: negotiating and making decisions. The proposed framework agreement is not a surrender. On the contrary: it represents an advanced attempt to reintegrate Lebanon into the circle of states that hold sovereign decision-making power exclusively through their institutions — not through parallel power centers or entities operating outside the state. First: negotiating is not capitulating — it is an exercise of sovereignty States are not judged by their slogans, but by their ability to manage conflicts through political means rather than sliding toward explosion. Negotiation, at its core, is not a sign of weakness — it is one of the highest expressions of political power when wielded in the service of stability and the prevention of war. The framework agreement rests on a fundamental principle: ending the state of conflict through a process of direct negotiation under international auspices. This is not an 'external diktat,' as some would have us believe, but an acknowledgment that complex crises cannot be resolved from within alone — especially when the balance of power is deeply skewed. Those who claim that merely sitting at a negotiating table constitutes surrender are, in effect, rejecting the very principle of politics, and reducing the state to a slogan rather than a course of action. Second: the state reclaims its role… it does not abandon it One of the agreement's core components is strengthening the Lebanese state's capacity to fully extend its security authority. This is not so much an external demand as it is the very essence of any functioning state. The state's monopoly on weapons is not a negotiating clause — it is a constitutional principle. What this framework calls for is: consolidating security decision-making within legitimate institutions; putting an end to the dual armed force structure; enshrining the principle that the state alone holds the authority over decisions of war and peace. How can those who call for a strong state view the strengthening of that state as a 'surrender'? This is a political contradiction that cannot withstand any institutional logic. Third: the 'surrender' narrative conceals a rejection of the state — not of the agreement The discourse that labels the agreement a surrender does not engage with its provisions. It rejects the very principle of a state capable of exercising sovereign decision-making. The problem does not lie with the agreement, but with the refusal to accept that: the state is the sole authority over weapons; the state is the one that negotiates on behalf of all; the state is the one that defines the security and political framework. In this light, calling the agreement a surrender becomes mere rhetorical cover for resisting Lebanon's transition from the logic of parallel forces to that of a unified state. Fourth: the logic of 'absolute resistance' does not build a state Lebanon has paid the price for decades of a logic that treats every agreement as a concession, every negotiation as a defeat, and every opening as a betrayal. The results speak for themselves: a weakened state, an exhausted economy, a divided society. States are not built on permanent refusal, but on the ability to: manage balances of power; mitigate risks; secure whatever gains are possible rather than losing everything. The framework agreement, however complex it may be, follows this logic: transforming an open conflict into a process that can be managed and contained. Fifth: where does surrender truly lie? In the pursuit of chaos, or in bringing it under control? The real question is not whether the agreement constitutes a concession or not, but rather this: should Lebanon remain in a state of permanent, uncontrolled conflict, or move toward a gradual process of political and security organization? True surrender does not lie in negotiation, but in: the paralysis of the state; the entrenchment of a dual decision-making authority; keeping the country hostage to the risks of open war. As for the agreement, it represents an attempt to break this vicious cycle — not to entrench it. Sixth: the argument of 'imbalance' does not eliminate the need for a state It is argued that the agreement is not balanced. But even in the presence of imbalances, the alternative is not rejection — it is negotiation to improve the terms. A state is not built through withdrawal, but through engagement. Sovereignty is not restored by leaving the table, but by asserting one's presence at it. What ultimately matters is not just the form of the agreement, but whether it strengthens or weakens the state's capacity. Every clause that speaks to the state's monopoly on arms, the unification of security decision-making, and the rebuilding of institutions points in one direction: strengthening the state, not dismantling it. In the end, the state is not surrender… it is the opposite The most dangerous aspect of the discourse that attacks the agreement by labeling it 'surrender' is that it inverts concepts entirely: it turns the state into an adversary, and chaos into a sovereigntist stance. Yet the truth is clear and simple: surrender is when the state is incapable of being a state. When it begins to reclaim its decision-making, its institutions, and its authority, that is not surrender… it is the beginning of the way out of surrender. Lebanon today faces two choices, with no third option: either a state that negotiates, decides, and builds its future, or a permanent state of denial that produces nothing but collapse. The framework agreement, whatever the disagreements over its details, is a step toward statehood. And those who oppose it by calling it 'surrender' are not merely opposing an agreement… they are opposing the very idea of the state.

Who Won? Who Lost? We Don't Know Anymore!
By
Youssef Mouawad
Published

In the aftermath of the disastrous June 1967 war—the so-called Six-Day War—the Arab countries were forced to confront a bitter reality: Egypt had lost the Gaza Strip and the Sinai Peninsula; the Hashemite Kingdom had been stripped of Jerusalem and the West Bank; while Syria had ignominiously withdrawn from the Golan Heights. Yet the Baath regime in Damascus, refusing to assume responsibility for a historic defeat, suggested that Israel had not truly won as long as it had failed to overthrow the Syrian regime. As long as the regime remained standing, Tel Aviv could not claim victory. This attitude of denial would set a precedent whenever the Arabs suffered a Waterloo. And so, true to form, Hezbollah’s Secretary-General, raising his voice despite the retreat, proclaimed on the eve of Ashura commemorations the victory of the Party of God “against the conspiracy woven by the alliance of the United States and Israel, under the cover provided by the Lebanese state.” It takes no small amount of audacity to claim the laurels of victory at the very moment when the Israeli army is steadily encroaching upon southern Lebanon and emptying it of its inhabitants. Saving Face And what about Donald Trump? Why does he appear so triumphant? According to Nicolas Baverez in Le Figaro, the protocol signed at Versailles by the American president shares many characteristics with the 1919 Treaty of Versailles, which ended the First World War and established “a false peace and merely a suspension of hostilities.” From this premise, the columnist drew a sweeping conclusion and delivered the following verdict: “The Versailles Protocol thus records the strategic debacle that concludes the Iran war for the United States, Israel, the Gulf monarchies, Europe, and America’s Asian allies.” That said, one should be wary of the reflexive anti-Americanism found in certain segments of the French press and instead pay close attention to Thomas Friedman of The New York Times, a newspaper that is hardly indulgent toward the current U.S. administration. Friedman observes that the leaders of Israel, Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, and the United States have one thing in common: none of them would welcome the establishment of a commission of inquiry to examine their conduct and performance during the latest Middle Eastern conflict. So who won and who lost? But is it not still too early to ask—or answer—that question? The Axis of Evil—or the Axis of Good, depending on one’s perspective—may not have won a battle, but neither has it necessarily lost the war. Conflicts are not judged by their opening rounds but by their final outcome. The simmering confrontation will continue in one form or another, under one pretext or another, with Lebanon serving as a testing ground and an arena for settling scores. Dissociating Lebanon from Iran at All Costs Our Lebanon, more than ever the punching bag of the belligerents, has been ravaged since early March by a new war between Israel and Hezbollah. The country has suffered damages estimated at more than one billion dollars, with 11,000 buildings completely destroyed in the South. This is without mentioning the thousands killed, wounded, and displaced. Yet what is even more serious—and what Naim Qassem openly advocates—is maintaining a link between the ceasefire established in Lebanon and the one reached between Iran and the United States. Making the two fronts inseparable would mean sacrificing the Lebanese cause on the altar of Iranian interests during the negotiations taking place in Bürgenstock, Switzerland. For Lebanon to extricate itself from its predicament, it must remain an autonomous theater of operations, governed by its own circumstances and conditions. If the cessation of hostilities in the South were to depend on an understanding between Tehran and Washington, Lebanese sovereignty would effectively be lost. Such an arrangement would establish a Persian tutelage over the Lebanese state—more insidious than the Syrian tutelage exercised under the Assad dynasty. Naim Qassem is waiting precisely for such a development so that he may proclaim victory. Yet this would be a victory for Iran, not for Lebanon.

Lebanon First…
By
Samir Abdelmalak
Published

Major crises reveal a simple truth: no country can endure when loyalties that transcend it remain stronger than the sense of belonging to it. Nations that overcome adversity are those that make national identity the common ground uniting all their citizens, regardless of their political, religious, or cultural affiliations. The nation does not erase diversity. It provides the framework that protects it. That lesson has become particularly clear in Iran’s recent evolution, where national and patriotic discourse has gained renewed momentum by embracing groups that, until recently, had been regarded as lying outside the circle of political loyalty. The authorities have come to understand that existential challenges require widening the circle of belonging, for a state’s strength is measured not only by the cohesion of its governing institutions, but also by its ability to embrace society in all its diversity. Lebanon, meanwhile, continues to grapple with the same fundamental question. Where should allegiance come first: to the sect, the party, the regional axis, or the state? The recent signing of the declaration of intent between Lebanon and Israel under American sponsorship, together with the domestic divisions it has stirred, has served as a reminder that the real problem lies not merely in the substance of any agreement, but in the absence of a unifying national framework within which decisions of such consequence can be debated before they become sources of internal division. No one is being asked to abandon deeply held convictions or legitimate concerns, nor should choices be imposed by majority rule or by force. What is required is for the principle of “Lebanon First” to become a political and moral foundation around which everyone can rally. That calls for an open and candid national dialogue on the issues that divide the country, from defense strategy to foreign relations, so that decisions are shaped within constitutional institutions rather than in the arenas of regional rivalries or at negotiating tables abroad. True peace begins at home. Sovereignty begins with unity of decision. Stability cannot be secured through an external agreement as long as the Lebanese remain divided over the very meaning of the state. When Lebanon comes first, differences cease to be a threat and become a source of strength, because everyone remains free to disagree beneath the shelter of one nation, one state, and one shared future.

The Lebanese-Israeli framework agreement signed in Washington: Iran Out

After nearly two months of direct negotiations between Lebanon and Israel, a 'framework agreement' between the two countries was signed on Saturday evening (Beirut time), on the fourth day of the fifth round of talks held at the State Department in Washington, under the supervision of Secretary of State Marco Rubio. The ceremony took place in the presence of Mr. Rubio and negotiators from both countries, including, on the Lebanese side, former Lebanese Ambassador to Washington Simon Karam and U.S. Ambassador to Beirut Michel Issa. The document was signed by Lebanon's Ambassador to the United States, Nada Hamadé Moawad, and Israel's Ambassador, Yechiel Leiter, both of whom delivered brief remarks, thanking the Trump Administration for its efforts and highlighting the significance of the occasion. This framework agreement marks the first official diplomatic act concluded between Lebanon and Israel since the signing of the (aborted) May 17 Accord in 1983. This outcome of five rounds of negotiations represents, it should be noted, a first step that will be followed by future, lengthy negotiations aimed at securing a full Israeli withdrawal from South Lebanon, alongside a process of Hezbollah disarmament. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated on Saturday evening that this first step will pave the way for further agreements, with the ultimate goal — as Ambassador Leiter noted on Saturday evening — being a future peace agreement between the two countries. In practical terms, the document calls for the immediate establishment of two 'pilot zones,' one of which is located north of the Litani River, where the Lebanese army will be required to deploy in order to prevent any militia presence in those areas. An Israeli source indicated late in the evening that the army deployment will take place with direct American support, which could translate into the provision of U.S. military advisors. This is therefore a starting point that will be followed by further steps, progressively leading to an Israeli withdrawal as local regular forces deploy and Hezbollah is disarmed. In this regard, on the instructions of President Joseph Aoun, the Lebanese delegation insisted that the framework agreement explicitly mention the necessity of a 'full withdrawal' of Israeli forces from South Lebanon. Regarding the scope of this agreement, the Israeli Prime Minister's office stated on Saturday evening that 'the Hezbollah disarmament process provided for in the document will be implemented both south and north of the Litani River.' Above all, however, it is the geopolitical significance of this framework agreement that is drawing the attention of analysts and political circles in Lebanon. The document effectively enshrines the sidelining of Iran from the process of resolving the Lebanese crisis and the South Lebanon issue. In recent weeks, the mullahs' regime spared no effort in trying to secure a direct Iranian role in efforts to find a way out of the Lebanese conflict, particularly in the South. During recent negotiations between the Trump Administration and the Islamic Republic, Iranian leaders had set the complete halt of Israeli military operations in the South as a precondition for any agreement with Washington. This insistence barely concealed Tehran's desire to carve out a prominent role for itself in any political resolution process in Lebanon. This role, claimed by the Revolutionary Guards, appeared to have been acknowledged during U.S.-Iranian discussions that began this week in Switzerland under the supervision of U.S. Vice President JD Vance. Those talks had resulted in an understanding aimed at including Iran in a process to oversee the situation in South Lebanon. However, the Washington framework agreement signed Saturday evening rules out any involvement of the Islamic Republic — and by extension Hezbollah — thereby confining peacemaking efforts and the restoration of Lebanese security and sovereignty strictly to a Lebanese-Israeli framework under exclusive American supervision. This explains Hezbollah's swift reaction late Saturday evening. Hezbollah MP Hassan Fadlallah reverted to the familiar refrain of a "civil war" threat, claiming that the Washington agreement is designed to undermine the Islamabad process — which is clearly aimed at reviving Iran's dominant regional role, particularly in Lebanon. On the political reaction front, the Secretary of State declared late Saturday evening that this framework agreement "lays the groundwork for a clearly defined process aimed at restoring Lebanon's sovereignty, disarming Hezbollah, and dismantling its infrastructure." President Joseph Aoun, for his part, emphasized that the goal is "the establishment of exclusive Lebanese state sovereignty over its territory." "There must no longer be any question of occupation, dependency, or guardianship," he said, in a barely veiled allusion to Iran's attempts to impose its hegemony over the Lebanese political scene. Military escalation, Hormuz, and Ali al-Taher On the military operations front, it is worth noting that the conclusion of the Washington framework agreement was preceded by the Israeli army's announcement, earlier in the afternoon, of its "full control over the Ali al-Taher hill," whose strategic importance is undeniable. "We now have complete control over the Ali al-Taher hill, and as a result Hezbollah has lost the stronghold from which it threatened Israeli territory," the Israeli military command stated. The capture of the Ali al-Taher hill carries not only military significance but also represents a fundamental geopolitical gain for Israel. The underground network beneath this area was transformed by the Revolutionary Guards into an extensive system of tunnels and infrastructure, including well-equipped command rooms and large warehouses storing missiles and various munitions. Dozens of Hezbollah militants and, most notably, several senior officers and commanders from the Revolutionary Guards are now reportedly trapped inside these tunnels with no way out following the Israeli army's seizure of the area. This development prompted an Israeli military source to assert that full Israeli control over Ali al-Taher "marks the end of Iran's and Hezbollah's role" in the region. Nevertheless, the pro-Iranian party flatly denied late Saturday evening that the hill had fallen into Israeli hands. On the broader regional front, President Donald Trump accused the Islamic Republic of violating the ceasefire agreement, stating that Iran had launched four drones toward vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Three of those drones were shot down in the area by U.S. forces, the American president noted, adding that the fourth drone struck the upper section of a large commercial vessel head-on, causing significant damage. In this context, an Iranian media outlet reported Saturday that "a direct line of communication had been established between the Americans and Iranians to prevent any incidents in the Strait of Hormuz." This claim was subsequently categorically denied by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Shortly before midnight, the US military announced that it had carried out strikes against Iranian targets in the Strait area. The military command specified that US aircraft had launched raids against missile and drone storage facilities and radar stations, in retaliation for the Iranian attack on the merchant vessel.

Fear of a Photograph!
By
Khairallah Khairallah
Published

Lebanon has no alternative but to pursue negotiations with Israel in order to achieve the desired objective: obtaining an Israeli withdrawal and enabling the displaced to return to their villages and towns. That is what genuine patriotism means, far removed from the temptation to cling to a past dominated by glittering slogans such as “praying in Jerusalem,” slogans that have led only to the return of occupation. Ultimately, Lebanon faces a reality from which it cannot escape forever. That reality lies not only in the price the country must now pay for the wars waged by Iran, through Hezbollah, against Israel. It also lies in the emergence of new parameters that now shape the region, parameters to which Lebanon would do well to adapt instead of remaining captive to Iranian tutelage. Lebanon must determine the price it is prepared to pay in exchange for an Israeli withdrawal, if it wishes to avoid falling into the Iranian trap. At the heart of that trap lies the Islamic Republic’s determination to turn Lebanon and its people into bargaining chips, regardless of the devastation and destruction inflicted upon the South and other parts of the country. Iran’s objective in Lebanon has never changed. That is why Tehran continues to refuse to acknowledge the transformation that has taken place across the region. The Islamic Republic and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps continue to view Lebanon as a bargaining chip in any negotiations with the United States. Faced with Iran’s refusal to recognize the region’s transformation, Lebanon should stop fleeing reality on the one hand and refuse to submit to Iranian logic on the other. In that context, it is pointless for Lebanese officers negotiating with the Israelis in Washington to avoid appearing in a photograph bringing together all the delegations taking part in the talks. Such a gesture changes nothing. It does, however, convey the image of an outdated Lebanese mindset determined to reduce Lebanon to little more than an Iranian satellite. Appeasing Tehran serves no purpose. It produces only one result: perpetuating the occupation and entrenching it. Hezbollah thrives on that occupation, which Iran seeks to perpetuate in pursuit of illusions it continues to nurture. Iran chooses to ignore that the most recent wars were fought on its own soil and that, in the end, it found itself negotiating with the Americans and signing a memorandum of understanding with them, with nothing to suggest that it will resolve any of the outstanding disputes between the Islamic Republic and the United States, between Iran and Israel, or even between the Islamic Republic and the six member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council. Against that backdrop, the first thing Lebanese officers should understand is that they are not negotiating with ghosts. They are negotiating with the Israeli army, which occupies Lebanese territory and will not withdraw as long as Hezbollah retains its weapons. Real courage lies simply in working to bring the occupation to an end rather than helping to entrench it, instead of hiding behind resounding slogans and shying away from a photograph with the negotiating delegation. Are the Lebanese officials negotiating with Israel under the authority of the President of the Republic and the Prime Minister traitors, or are they, on the contrary, the very embodiment of patriotism in a country that has fallen under Iranian domination, a domination that brought Israel back into southern Lebanon? Simon Karam, head of the Lebanese negotiating delegation, and Lebanon’s ambassador to Washington, Nada Hamadeh Moawad, need no certificate of patriotism from anyone. For one simple reason: the negotiations Lebanon is conducting in the American capital are taking place openly and are aimed, above all else, at bringing the occupation to an end. Could there be a more honorable mission? Lebanon is negotiating under exceptionally complex circumstances. The difficulty stems less from Israeli intransigence than from the profound transformation that has taken place within Israel, where a majority now believes that coexistence with Hezbollah’s weapons is no longer possible. Benjamin Netanyahu has no room to make concessions on a withdrawal from Lebanon without clear Lebanese guarantees regarding Hezbollah’s arsenal. Put more plainly, the Israel that existed before the Al Aqsa Flood bears little resemblance to the Israel that emerged after Hamas launched its attack on the communities surrounding Gaza on October 7, 2023. There is no longer any room for agreements under the banner of the “rules of engagement,” whether with Hamas in Gaza or with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Such agreements are no longer conceivable, particularly since the American administration has shown no willingness to exert significant pressure on Israel over Lebanon. The issue is no longer fear of a photograph. The real issue is Lebanon’s ability to appear in Washington with a single, united delegation that knows exactly what it wants, free from political posturing. In the end, one question alone remains: does Lebanon truly want to end the occupation instead of helping to perpetuate it? Does it want to avoid falling into the Iranian trap built upon exploiting southern Lebanon and its people, particularly its Shiite population? One thing is certain: fear of a photograph bodes ill. Far more encouraging is the existence of a Lebanese determination to continue the negotiations along an independent path, separate from the American-Iranian track. That would reflect genuine Lebanese courage, rather than taking refuge behind slogans and the chronic complexes that continue to shape attitudes toward the Israeli occupation.

Crisis, Catastrophe and the Shaken World (1/7)

This essay explores the figures of crisis and catastrophe, tracing them from ancient cosmologies to the lived experience of a world shaken to its foundations. Bringing Greek, Biblical and Indian traditions into dialogue with the philosophy of Jan Patočka, it examines how civilizations have conceived disorder, collapse, irreversibility, and even the possibility of action when meaning itself begins to falter. Published here as a series of seven essays, this study follows a demanding yet essential line of inquiry: Is catastrophe a sudden rupture, a slow disintegration of the world, or the deepest truth of our historical condition? What follows is the introductory chapter. Crisis and Catastrophe: Two Different Relations to Time Conceptually, crisis unfolds within a zone of ontological transition. It inhabits the precarious interval where meaning begins to waver, suspended between the operation of critique and the imminence of catastrophe. Although crisis and critique share the same etymological root in the Greek verb krinein , the act of sifting, discerning and deciding, they ultimately fulfil distinct functions within the logic of judgment. Crisis marks the moment when the equilibrium of a system, or of an existence, becomes unsustainable. Critique, by contrast, establishes itself as a reflective activity that seeks to transform this disequilibrium into a horizon of truth or an intelligible resolution. [1] The tragedy of every critique lies in its inevitable encounter with crises. It awakens only where something has already been torn apart. Conversely, every crisis bears within itself the spectral horizon of its own descent into catastrophe. Catastrophe may therefore be understood as a radically critical crisis: the point at which the capacity for discernment is overwhelmed by the irreversibility of disaster. So long as catastrophe remains imminent, krinein still stands watch. It is vigilance itself: a consciousness on guard, striving to detect the fracture before it becomes an abyss. It is the suspended moment of decision, when the distinction between salvation and loss remains genuinely possible. Once irreversibility arrives, however, krinein changes its very nature. It no longer distinguishes among possibilities; it seals destiny. It no longer determines the outcome; it merely acknowledges the closure of meaning. Between these two abysses, this etymological wanderer reminds us that thought resembles a tightrope walker poised upon a razor’s edge, striving to preserve a space for discernment precisely where everything appears to be rushing towards inevitability. Catastrophe suspends the continuity of ordinary existence. It interrupts the habitual sequences of meaning, causality and intelligibility. It produces a profound dislocation, that is, a loss of commensurability between the structures of experience and what actually comes to pass. The ordinary no longer holds together as a world; its fabric of continuity begins to unravel. Crisis, by contrast, does not suspend the ordinary. It holds it in suspension. Rather than interrupting continuity, it renders it undecidable, unstable and open. Crisis constitutes a regime of expectation internal to ordinary existence itself. The structures of the world still endure, yet without resolution, as though reality were maintaining its equilibrium while remaining incapable of reaching any immediate outcome. Crisis is prolonged tension rather than rupture. Catastrophe inaugurates an irreversible aftermath. Crisis, by contrast, defers that aftermath, suspending it without ever allowing it to become fully constituted. Catastrophe disarticulates the calendar itself. It ravages time as the very medium of experience, transforming it into a furious, unbound temporality. It invests the demonic, no longer understood merely as negativity, but as a mode of non-being that haunts the world. Catastrophe therefore does more than disrupt the periodization of history, whether narrative or scientific. It unsettles the very periodization of being itself, reaching into the articulation of time and existence. Different cosmological regimes generate different regimes of crisis, catastrophe and political action. Cosmological regimes are not merely metaphysical backdrops; they silently structure the very forms through which crisis, catastrophe and political action become intelligible. Within a stable cosmos governed by intelligible regularities and fixed hierarchies, as in certain ancient or theo-political cosmologies, crisis appears primarily as an internal imbalance: a disturbance affecting an order presumed capable of restoration, and therefore an invitation to repair rather than to re-found. By contrast, within the disenchanted universe of modernity, where nature is governed by impersonal laws and history remains radically open, catastrophe increasingly takes the form of systemic rupture: the collapse of meaning, the disintegration of institutional frameworks, and the emergence of irreversible contingencies. Political action is consequently transformed into the management of risk, the permanent anticipation of scenarios of failure, and even governance through emergency. Within eschatological or apocalyptic cosmologies, finally, crisis becomes structural and saturated with meaning. It ceases to be an accident and becomes a sign, while catastrophe is no longer merely destruction but the revelation of an ultimate end. Political action may therefore oscillate between withdrawal from the world, the acceleration of conflict, and the pursuit of salvation. Whether the world is conceived as a cyclical order, an impersonal mechanism, or an eschatological theatre profoundly shapes the ontological depth, temporality and political responses associated with crisis. Yet these cosmological regimes neither simply succeed one another nor strictly exclude one another. They overlap, intermingle and coexist as historical strata, giving rise to hybrid configurations in which crisis oscillates between restoration, management and revelation. It may even become the crisis born of fearing the loss of one’s own cosmological horizon and of yielding to that of another. [1] On the modern genealogy of the relationship between crisis and critique, see Reinhart Koselleck, Critique and Crisis: Enlightenment and the Pathogenesis of Modern Society (German original: Kritik und Krise. Eine Studie zur Pathogenese der bürgerlichen Welt , 1959; English translation, MIT Press, 1988). One of the foremost historians of concepts ( Begriffsgeschichte ), Koselleck argues that European modernity gradually transformed critique into an autonomous historical force. In his account, the critical thought that emerged from the Enlightenment no longer merely examined reality; it constituted itself as a moral and rational tribunal standing in judgment over the State, religion and the existing political order. Yet this emancipation of critique simultaneously generated a permanent crisis of political legitimacy. Modernity is thus characterized by a structural tension in which critique continually produces the very crises it seeks to resolve, opening a historical horizon marked by instability and by the expectation of a re-foundation of meaning. Where Koselleck understands critique as a constitutive dynamic of European modernity, that is, as a force internal to the political history of the Enlightenment and the modern State, Dipesh Chakrabarty, the Indian postcolonial historian whose work is rooted in both the Marxist tradition and Subaltern Studies, reveals its geo-historical limits. From his perspective, modern crisis is not the universal horizon of the political but a historically situated experience that Europe has tended to universalize by elevating it into the global norm of historical intelligibility. In Provincializing Europe: Postcolonial Thought and Historical Difference (Princeton University Press, 2000), Chakrabarty argues that the fundamental categories of modern historiography, including progress, secularization, crisis and critique, are not universal forms of historical intelligibility but conceptual constructions arising from Europe’s own intellectual and political experience. Chakrabarty’s position does not amount to a universalization of a “non-critical attitude.” Rather, it reconfigures the very conditions under which critique becomes possible. At the same time, it opens a genuine philosophical problem: how can the pluralization of rationalities be reconciled with the preservation of a shared horizon of judgment?