Levant Time logo

Articles

News feature image
In 2010, Israel violently intercepted the Mavi Marmara, a Turkish ship chartered by a humanitarian NGO to bring aid to the Gaza Strip, which was under Israeli blockade at the time. This was the last straw, and the incident brought the simmering hostility between Erdogan's government and the Jewish state out into the open. (AFP)
Opinion
Author portrait
By Youssef Mouawad
Published Sep 5, 2026 - 13:25
The war has not yet ceased in our south, and already it threatens to break out among our neighbors. In other words, we live on borrowed time, lurching from one conflict to the next. And for good reason! The bombing of a Syrian base very nearly escalated into an all-out clash between Ankara and Tel Aviv. That was on August 18, and Benjamin Netanyahu didn't mince his words: his country would not tolerate a Turkish military foothold that could spread into southern Syria. The warning was all the more forceful given that eight strikes had targeted the Abu al-Dhuhur air base, just 70 kilometers from the Turkish border. It's worth recalling, too, that since the fall of Bashar al-Assad in December 2024, Erdogan has become the chief mentor of the new Syria under Ahmed al-Sharaa, helping rebuild its armed forces and turning it into a strategic partner. This is no longer Hafez al-Assad's Syria Was it this renewed tension between Ankara and Tel Aviv that prompted a meeting between Syria's top diplomat, Assaad Chaibani, and Mossad chief Roman Gofman, in Jordan on August 23? Yet this quiet parley did not spark outrage across the Arab world the way Anwar al-Sadat's surprise visit to Israel did in 1977. A taboo was officially broken—and indeed, who would have imagined such talks taking place under the Baathist regime? Israel might have been expected to welcome this, but contrary to expectations, it halted neither its airstrikes nor its territorial incursions, as seen on August 27 in Quneitra. The fact is, things have changed. Under Hafez al-Assad, Syria was a regional power that, while not exactly formidable, was feared by its immediate neighbors, Arab or otherwise. No one wanted to pick a fight with it, which allowed it to pursue, within certain limits, an assertive foreign policy that often bordered on provocation. As a result, thanks to the autonomy it exercised and the room to maneuver it granted itself, Syria had become, at least geographically, a buffer zone between an "Erdoganist" Turkey flaunting its unabashed brand of Islam on one side, and Israel, a state Jewish to its core, on the other. But now, in a country worn down by Baathist mismanagement and ravaged by years of civil war, Turkey has begun staking its claims—and will inevitably find itself face to face with an Israel that occupies part of Syrian territory. What can we expect? Given the outsized egos of both Netanyahu and Erdogan, and assuming both leaders remain in power, we should brace for an epic showdown across Syrian, Lebanese, Jordanian, or even other territories. This will be a fight of feints and dodges, of underhanded tactics as well as head-on attacks, close combat, and rising tensions right up to the breaking point. And this despite a September 2025 report from the Congressional Research Service concluding that direct confrontation between Turkey and Israel remains unlikely, precisely because both states are well aware of the cost such a war would entail. Still, in the realm of conflict studies, leaders and other elites don't always act rationally! All the more so since, in the eyes of Israeli observers, the slogan now popular in Anatolia—" Make Turkey great again "—hardly reassures the Zionist state. Washington will find it increasingly difficult to contain or keep apart two adversaries already gearing up for battle. Turkey, the new Iran? Yes, that's one hypothesis, but only in a face-off with Israel, since Syria has overnight become a zone where 'two security perimeters overlap' — the Turkish and the Israeli, the Muslim and the Jewish. And it can't be ruled out that Shiite militancy, that mobilizer of " proxies ," might end up allying itself, even if only temporarily, with a 'Muslim Brotherhood version' of political Islam championed by Ankara! So we would have, against all odds, a Hezbollah backed by its former enemy, Ahmad al-Sharaa, an Islamist who emerged from Jabhat al-Nusra and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham! Against a common adversary, a reversal of alliances is always legitimate and opportune. But this would only be a tactical alliance, dictated by the exigencies of the moment, one that couldn't presume anything about the future. With Arab nationalism now out of the picture, Turkey won't settle for economically capturing the Syrian market of 25 million consumers: it will want to wield political influence in Damascus, and to that end will deploy its military and security apparatus. Since the shaky power of the Syrian president can't fulfill certain sovereign functions or oversee the various branches of the state, it will inevitably turn to the expertise of its northern neighbor. Does this mean Turkey will get sucked into the spiral of 'announced belligerence'? Everything points that way, and we can already see the early signs of a spiral reminiscent of the US involvement in Vietnam under Lyndon Johnson. Indeed, if the Syrian state intends to rebuild itself, it will first need an army capable of quelling the centrifugal tendencies of the Alawites, the Druze, and other factions calling for the country's breakup. And it's up to Ankara to provide that and to bolster the central authority based in Damascus. But Israel, which has gotten into bad habits in Syria and intends to keep its freedom of aerial action there, cannot tolerate an army built along NATO lines that could serve as a proxy for a neo-Ottoman venture. And Lebanon, from primary stage to secondary stage? A new stage is now set for a new script that will define new rules of the game! What will become of Hezbollah, caught in a trap? Well, in that scenario, it could benefit, even if only partly, from Damascus's logistical support — support it has sorely lacked since the fall of Bashar al-Assad. And perhaps, through a shift in the tectonic plates, Lebanon would move from being the initial stage to being merely a secondary stage of a regional conflict. But frankly, that would do us a lot of good!
Today's Essential
Author portrait
By LevantTime . - Published Sep 5, 2026 - 00:55
News feature image
The ICRC convoy carrying the released civilians left the area occupied by Israel in southern Lebanon and traveled to the point marking the start of the zone controlled by the Lebanese authorities. (AFP)
The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) announced on Friday that it had transferred four more people released by Israel to Lebanon, a day after the release of a first civilian. They are three Lebanese nationals and two Syrians, according to the ICRC. This is the first time such an operation has taken place since negotiations between Lebanon and Israel began in April under US auspices. During the last round of talks in August, Beirut had requested the release of a first group of its nationals captured by Israel in southern Lebanon, where Israel is at war with the pro-Iranian Hezbollah. Their relatives estimate their number at around thirty, including fighters from the Islamist movement. In a statement, Lebanese President Joseph Aoun thanked the United States and the ICRC, saying the release "confirmed the soundness of the position" taken by Lebanon, which is engaged in negotiations with Israel that Hezbollah rejects. On Thursday, the United States praised "the government of Israel and the government of Lebanon for demonstrating good faith through these initial steps," expressing hope that this would "serve as a foundation for broader discussions on other civilian matters." The two countries are set to hold another round of negotiations in September, though the date has not yet been set. According to the Israeli prime minister's office, Thursday's announcement "follows efforts by Israel and Lebanon to locate and repatriate the remains of Jewish community leaders who were kidnapped and killed in Lebanon" between 1984 and 1986. Israeli strikes intensify On the ground, Israeli strikes killed three people and wounded 23 others on Friday in southern and eastern Lebanon. Israel stepped up its strikes in the region on Friday, after announcing Thursday evening that it had taken control of the Ali Taher mountain ridge, which had served as a strategic position for the pro-Iranian Hezbollah and overlooks Nabatiyeh, among other areas. The army will now reinforce its positions there in order to "prevent the enemy from retaking the area," said Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz. A strike also hit the Tyre region, particularly the village of Rmadiyé, according to the National News Agency (NNA). For Trump, the war in Iran is "small potatoes" Regarding the war in Iran, US President Donald Trump sought on Friday to downplay its impact on the United States ahead of the crucial midterm elections. "A lot of people aren't calling it a war. I call it a military conflict, because it's small potatoes for us. It's not a big deal. We did Venezuela, and we did that," he told reporters in the Oval Office when asked about his vice president, JD Vance, who had said the day before that he didn't want to call the conflict a war. With fuel prices surging because of the war and threatening to cost Donald Trump's Republicans their majority in Congress in November's midterm elections, his administration is working to downplay the scale of the conflict. According to the president, the United States is carrying out "targeted strikes," insisting that it is "not currently engaged in fighting." He also claimed that the United States controlled the Strait of Hormuz and had wiped out Iran's armed forces. "What we've accomplished is remarkable. We took control of Venezuela, and we've essentially taken control of Iran," he said.
Homage
Author portrait
By Michel Hajji Georgiou - Published Sep 4, 2026 - 23:28
News feature image
What remains of Hassan Rifai is the image of a respected, composed jurist, an authority on administrative and constitutional law, arguing in a calm, quavering voice as he pointed out the deviations and failings of politicians in relation to the parliamentary democratic system and the Constitution. And yet, the former MP and minister, who died on September 3, 2025, was also a man in revolt. A dissenter. Even at one hundred. Especially at one hundred! He had been one as a child, haranguing crowds in Baalbeck against the Mandate, and remained one throughout his career as a lawyer and parliamentarian. At one hundred, utterly disillusioned with the Republic and its buccaneers, his quiet anger had not subsided. “Lebanon is an impossible country!” he told the author of these lines in an interview conducted a few years before his death and never published. But make no mistake. Hassan Rifai was neither a nihilist nor someone who rejected everything outright. He had fought all his life for a certain idea of Lebanon. More specifically, for Greater Lebanon, united and plural. And he appreciated the Lebanese experience for what it was worth, including all that was positive in it. But human beings had disappointed him. And yet it was precisely the human being he was seeking. He never found that person on the Lebanese public stage. At least not in the service of the Republic. Rifai was a man of law, always elegant, irreproachable, everything one would expect of a man of his moral and intellectual stature. But he was also uncompromising. Merciless, even. No doubt his attachment to his country and its democratic system had led him to acknowledge only one loyalty: a certain code of values and a certain idea of the Republic. That was why he was critical of every mistake and every abuse, beginning with those committed by his own political friends. He spared no one. Neither communities nor clans, neither religious leaders, he was secular himself, and certainly not political officials. No one escaped his scrutiny, and Rifai took a certain pleasure in dismantling the myths and received ideas that portrayed this or that president of the Republic or prime minister as an exceptional leader. His yardstick was objective: the consistency of actions with democratic principles. As a result, no one truly found favor in his eyes. The conclusion was devastating: none of the country’s leaders, throughout its history, had genuinely respected Lebanese parliamentary democracy. None. That did not mean he placed everyone on the same footing. He had enough critical distance to recognize the qualities and shortcomings of each. He liked to quote Léon Duguit: “Constitutional law has no safeguard other than the good faith of those who apply it.” He had almost made it his republican credo. And his verdict was merciless: that good faith, quite simply, he had not found. Too many politicians, and not enough statesmen. And above all, a great deal of lying and hypocrisy. One day, a senior political figure advised him: “Do not build roads for people. Otherwise they will stop coming to you.” Despite the respect he had for this political ally, the remark left him bewildered and shocked. It contained an entire conception of power: never permanently solve the problem of those one claims to represent, because once their need disappears, so does the very reason for their dependence. The project of the state was thus postponed indefinitely. Or, at the very least, whenever good people did exist, the system prevented them from reaching positions of responsibility. Rifai was a rebel, yes, but one armed with the rigor and precision of a master craftsman of administrative and constitutional law. That was undoubtedly what set him apart within Lebanon’s political milieu. He was rebellious enough, in any event, to pay a price for it. In August 1982, he survived an assassination attempt after opposing the Israeli diktat. At Taif in 1989, he was almost cast out for having immediately discerned the existing flaws and the traps added to the constitutional reforms. From 1992 onward, under the Syrian occupation, he endured political ostracism for opposing the security apparatus underpinning Syrian tutelage and Rafic Hariri’s policies. But he was fair. He could oppose political confessionalism while acknowledging that abolishing it at the present stage would be disastrous for Lebanon, and that a system of majority rule based purely on numbers would once and for all toll the death knell of the Lebanese formula and of the Christian presence in Lebanon. He could agree that Christians had been wronged by the constitutional reforms of Taif, Sunnis too, he maintained, while at the same time recalling the excesses committed in the exercise of power by presidents of the Republic between 1943 and 1990, and warning against a nostalgic return to those practices under the refrain of “Christian rights.” A drift toward a presidential or semi-presidential system would, in his view, endanger Christians. The importance of the parliamentary system inherited from the French Third Republic lay precisely in the fact that the president of the Republic was not politically accountable to the Chamber of Deputies. That placed him, according to Rifai, in a privileged position. Above the fray, he could steer the ship of the Republic safely into port without becoming bogged down in struggles for power. That moral responsibility to preserve the Constitution and the Republic was, in his eyes, far more important than any political responsibility. But the principal parties concerned still had to be persuaded of that. Rifai could recognize the importance of administrative decentralization while refusing to allow that demand to become an ideological slogan concealing separatist ambitions. In this regard, he recalled that Beirut and Mount Lebanon had been favored in the construction of Greater Lebanon, while the peripheral regions, particularly his own, Baalbeck, had been neglected. That had contributed to weakening Lebanese national sentiment, which ultimately depended on well-being grounded in respect for human dignity. Commitment to citizenship presupposed that everyone be treated equally in terms of development. Without equality among citizens, sovereignty could only falter. That, indeed, was the meaning of his first speech in Parliament in 1968. The events that followed gave that warning a singular gravity. Economic, social and territorial imbalances contributed to fueling the demands of the left and of part of the Muslim street in a country already strained by sectarian tensions, foreign interference and the growing power of armed organizations. They thus contributed to the gradual weakening of the state, before the war, successive occupations and the emergence of para-state structures. Ultimately, Hassan Rifai embodies something of that Lebanese model of the cosmopolitan, complex personality who stands outside communal and partisan trenches, enjoys almost unanimous respect, especially beyond political circles, yet is consulted within those same circles only when needed and for self-interested reasons. Lebanon does not like minds that are too independent and too unruly, even if its system still contains cracks through which such people can exist and make themselves heard. They are tolerated, but they must remain on the margins. The survival of the state of zaamat and the state of jamaat depends on it: a system that invariably prefers turning to foreign patrons rather than to people capable of generating, proposing and implementing solutions from within. Lebanon’s political system and its protagonists detest the notion of responsibility, which they find profoundly anxiety-inducing, and prefer dependence or, worse still, servility. Yet Rifai repeatedly said, once again quoting Léon Duguit: “Where responsibility lies, there lies power.” Should it then come as any surprise that in Lebanon, where responsibility is nowhere to be found, power is nowhere to be found either? Or, more precisely, that it is always elsewhere?
More Articles
Sort By: NewestOldest
Christmas and the Price of Redemption
By
Michel Hajji Georgiou
Published

The meaning of Christmas challenges us more than ever, in a world that is increasingly fragmented, increasingly “nihilistic” — in the existential sense. Beyond its commercial and festive character, or even its spiritual and religious dimension, Christmas is, in principle, a hand extended toward humanity in all its flaws, its inequities, its imperfections. Without distinction. This is not about engaging in supermarket morality, nor in secularized spiritualism, but about sincerely questioning what this moment signifies, beyond immediate experience — beyond that delightful synesthesia of lights, songs, and flavors, or the joy of gifts reflected in the innocent eyes of young children. Christmas is not a celebration of withdrawal into oneself. Even though the holiday revives the familial cocoon around the fireplace and shared moments, around a table or a Christmas tree, it is not synonymous with enclosure or a return to the gregarious core. On the contrary. Since the dawn of time, the winter solstice has been an event awaited with fervor. Preparations began in spring, celebrating the flame of life within the darkness of the shadows. A majestic light of life, which first exists in sharing with others, without any difference — all others. In antiquity, on that day, social barriers were abolished, in a song of the heart celebrating altruism and a return to what defines the specificity of the human being: the sense of social service, of one’s purpose within the purpose of the other. In reciprocity, far from selfishness. That is why guests sit at the same table — not merely to reunite, but to rediscover themselves in the other, in their neighbor. This is the essence of the social bond. Christmas, in this sense, is profoundly “political” as an act of preserving society and a ritual of self-purification through the other. It is, in principle, a moment of truce, when symbolic violence is briefly suspended, revealing what has become structural throughout the rest of the year. At the end of this year 2025, marked by a disintegration of the global order likely unprecedented since the last century, this is the opportune moment to bury hatred and vengeance and to renounce violence, whatever its form or object. It is within this in-between — between the shadow of winter and the light and warmth of fire — that the harshest and most difficult inner struggle unfolds, provided one chooses not to anesthetize it through inert solipsism or Epicurean materialism. It is the ideal time for an examination of conscience, a reflection on our internal mechanisms that transform fears into moral narratives, then into closed identities; that constantly confuse survival with justice; that legitimize heroic virtue to compensate for collective irresponsibility; that allow the gradual slide of hatred from a shameful emotion into an assumed political cause. Christmas is, in a way, a stripping bare of everything that no longer holds — from the individual to the societal. In this sense, it is no coincidence that Christmas takes place in the depths of icy nights, at the moment when everyone, exhausted at the end of a year filled with responsibilities, trials, and various sufferings, struggles for survival. “The burdens are sometimes empty, but they are no less heavy,” sang Leonard Cohen. Christmas is a refuge, a manger, a place to recompose oneself away from the gaze of the world, to breathe, to dive back into the deepest parts of oneself, and to question what defines us. The sun has disappeared, and it is within oneself that it must be rediscovered — in communion with others, in a surge of hope, joy, and peace. Christmas is the epitome-moment of redemption — provided one can open one’s heart to the triptych of freedom, responsibility, and reciprocity that movement toward the other requires. It is the moment of empathy par excellence. The spirit of Christmas, beyond religions, communities, spirituality, and morality, is thus a choice of values and reference points — and beyond that, a choice of society: that of living together in difference and respect for others, and in humility. It is the moment to accept stripping oneself of the egotism conferred by power and certainty, to return to the asymmetrical doubt that makes us human — authentic, still capable of wonder, of deep self-criticism, and of expressing gratitude for what has been given to us, indiscriminately, both good and bad. On December 24–25, anger, resentment, misfortune, judgment, and evil lose their meaning. They do not fade away by magic, but through awareness. That rebirth and redemption come at this price — and that we are, despite our wounds, our torments, our flaws, our terrifying fears, invited to love, to share, and to love ourselves without judgment. And perhaps the only fundamental question still worth asking at the beginning of this catastrophic 21st century is to know what, today, still deserves to be saved beyond a profane–sacred dualism that has drifted farther than ever from that bi-directional movement between humanist transcendence and immanence. It is up to each of us to find, deep within ourselves, the answer to this question. At this stage, words are no longer of any use.

Al-Qard Al-Hassan reportedly initiated a «post-liquidation» phase

Under the effect of American sanctions, restrictions imposed by the Banque du Liban, and losses sustained during the last war with Israel, Hezbollah has sought to reconfigure its main financial arm, Al-Qard Al-Hassan. This “repositioning,” presented as “legal,” aims to preserve its grip on the parallel economy and its social base. Founded in 1982, the Qard Al-Hassan association operates outside the legal banking framework. Iranian funds initially contributed to the association's capital. These were supplemented by Lebanese capital, particularly from entrepreneurs in Africa, over several years. According to the US Treasury Department, which listed Qard Al-Hassan in 2007 on its list of sanctioned entities and then strengthened these sanctions in 2021, this association manages financial volumes comparable to those of a medium-sized bank, while escaping all official supervision. US authorities estimate that the network serves several hundred thousand beneficiaries across Lebanon, relying on significant tangible assets, including gold deposits used as collateral, without control from the Lebanese financial authorities. Since the collapse of the banking system in 2019, Al-Qard Al-Hassan has established itself as a substitute for a sector described as “deeply insolvent” by international institutions, thereby strengthening the economic dependence of Hezbollah's social base and consolidating its financial and political power outside of any state structure. Symbolic legitimacy The policy of severe restrictions imposed since 2019 by the Banque du Liban – limitations on withdrawals, control of transfers abroad, and regulation of exchange operations – has created an environment conducive to the rise of unregulated financial structures. In this context, Al-Qard Al-Hassan has appeared to some as an alternative to the state and the banking sector, due to their failure. The principle of Qard Al-Hassan, based on interest-free loans, gives this association strong symbolic legitimacy within the Shiite community. Hezbollah relies on this reference to present the association as a social work. According to political scientist Ali Hamadé, this symbolism is also strategic for the party's political influence: it has enabled it to penetrate social strata beyond the Shiite community, thus extending its economic and social grip. But in reality, Al-Qard Al-Hassan functions as a parallel banking network, manipulating large amounts of liquidity outside of any state control and beyond the official supervision of the Banque du Liban or the Banking Control Commission. Ali Hamadé notes in this context that the association has entered a phase of so-called "post-liquidation," redistributing certain activities to other Hezbollah-affiliated entities, particularly in the gold sector. Gold purchase, sale, and pawning operations are now carried out via Joud, a commercial company with a tax number and a license, whose general manager from the Karnib family is sanctioned by the United States. Banking-like activities are gradually being transferred to other legal structures, with operations presented as simple sales of goods, thus circumventing financial oversight. The closure would be inevitable Ali Hamadé further emphasizes that the timing of Al-Qard Al-Hassan's closure or control falls under the responsibility of the Presidency of the Republic, not the Ministry of Interior. This responsibility explains the caution in examining the case, particularly with the aim of avoiding financial disruptions for depositors and managing the symbolic impact of such an act on the Shiite community and beyond. Facing international and American pressure, the closure of the association now seems inevitable, even if other structures continue to take over some of its activities. This possible closure has been denied by the association, which states that it "continues to operate under its usual name, in all its branches in Lebanon." It specifies that gold purchase and sale operations, whether cash or installment, are carried out exclusively through legal commercial companies. This clarification illustrates the complexity of the progressive transfer of Al-Qard Al-Hassan's functions to entities like Joud, allowing for a legal distinction between commercial operations and quasi-banking activities.

“The Iranian Empire”: Israel and the Alliance of Minorities, a Paradoxical Stability (5/5)

It seems necessary to dwell for a moment on the insidious game played by Israel, acting as a puppet master, in the context of the geostrategic ambitions of the Iranian Islamic Republic. For half a century, Tel Aviv found in the “alliance of minorities” (Alawites, Christians, Druze, Lebanese Shiites, Kurds) a geopolitical buffer against the Sunni hinterland. The Israeli «periphery doctrine» (1950s-70s) was indeed based on an axiom: ally with minorities to break the Sunni encirclement. In this context, the Alawite regimes in Damascus — Hafez and then Bashar al-Assad — were declared but predictable enemies; ideologically stable; obsessed with their internal survival; and perfectly dissuadable. Israel preferred a cynical and rational Assad to a nationalist or Islamist Sunni Syria. And the Western world, both the United States and European countries, followed suit with the Hebrew state, purely out of utilitarianism. The henchmen of the Assad regime rendered so many good and loyal services to European intelligence agencies over the past four decades… why get rid of such an accommodating enemy? And, to add to the ridicule, several decades after the massacres of Homs and Hama, it is only today that these countries salute the demise of an inhumane regime they constantly legitimized, even when it resolutely massacred civilian opponents in 2011 and handed the country over to Daesh by amnestying Islamists, only to then cry wolf… Hezbollah, in Lebanon, eliminated all the leaders of the National Resistance Front to Israel, formed by the left, starting in the 1980s. What the Hebrew state did not do, the pro-Iranian party completed. Until it became a perfect border guard to prevent any Palestinian aspirations from taking root in South Lebanon. In exchange, Israel overlooked the Syrian takeover of Lebanon in 1990 and the conquest of the Lebanese state by Hezbollah starting in 2006. Moreover, it took advantage of the Hamas-Fatah quarrel to weaken the Palestinian internal front… Maintaining the mimetic rivalry With the fall of Assad and the arrival of Ahmed al-Sharaa, Israel finds itself facing a geostrategic paradox: in the short term, Iran — whose exaggerated imperialistic hubris, in Zionist logic, it was time to humble — loses its Levantine bridgehead. In the medium term, a recomposed Sunni Syria reappears — with all that this implies in terms of doctrinal, tribal-military, and regional unknowns. It must be understood that Israel has constantly sought to maintain the mimetic rivalry that already exists between the communities of the Levant against a backdrop of existential anxieties. Thus, playing Christians against Sunnis, Sunnis against Shiites, Alawites against Sunnis, according to pure Machiavellian logic… by restoring balances when they are broken. The function of this strategy is obvious: to guarantee the survival of the Hebrew state by exploiting the weaknesses, fears, and contradictions of others, as well as the fragility of the pluralism of Levantine societies. And, consequently, to eliminate any possibility of the emergence of a credible Palestinian resistance and the birth of a viable, sovereign Palestinian state with international legitimacy. Certainly, the Sharaa regime completely breaks Iranian influence, closes arms routes to Hezbollah, draws closer to Riyadh and Washington; it attempts a «conservative normalization» to exorcise its jihadist past and provides an opportunity to extend the Abraham Accords to Syria with Sunni legitimacy. But for Israel, this recomposition remains ambiguous: a former jihadist group turned state power is less legible than a stable Alawite dictatorship, and a Sunni power can serve as a complement to the Palestinian cause. While dialogue with it to push for peace is necessary, pressure on the regime must be maintained to keep it in a state of fragility and dependence, whether by neutralizing its military capabilities, stirring up factions within minorities, or creating a buffer zone inside Syrian territory. For Israel, the entire dichotomy lies here: the Iranian Empire is collapsing, but with it, the comfortable logic of the “alliance of minorities.” Tel Aviv loses an “intimate enemy” (whose fall it delayed as much as possible) in Bashar — the “old pair of socks,” to use the phrase of an Israeli official in 2011 regarding the Syrian president — for an unpredictable neighbor, but one that can guarantee lasting peace, provided it is kept under tight Western politico-economic and Israeli military control. The empire in fragments What remains for Iran at the end of 2025 is no longer an axis, but the pieces of an imploded star: Bab el-Mandeb and the Houthis, Gaza in ruins and Hamas, an isolated Hezbollah trying desperately to reconstitute itself, an Iraq under control but suffering from internal tensions, and a Syria definitively lost. Even the heart of the empire now groans under the weight of sanctions and shortages. Tehran's imperial strategy has not disappeared; it has been shattered, partly a victim of its imperialistic hubris, for wanting to play cunningly with those more powerful than itself. Like Saddam after the invasion of Kuwait. “If he debases himself, I praise him; if he boasts, I humble him“, Machiavelli advised. The frog who wanted to make herself as big as the ox, wrote La Fontaine. Darius III was assassinated by his own people after his defeat against Alexander and the fall of the empire. Will the current Iranian directory suffer the same fate? Perhaps. The difference being that Alexander had wept for Darius III. No one — absolutely no one — will shed tears over the ruins of the vilayet el-faqih. Read on the same topic “The Iranian Empire”: Anatomy of a Fall (1/5) “The Iranian Empire”: In Yemen, the Houthi Gamble (2/5) “The Iranian Empire”: The Land Corridor and the Ambition of the Levantine Empire (3/5) “The Iranian Empire”: Iraq, Open Wound; Gaza, Palestinian Depth (4/5)

Sharjah, pioneer of culture in the Emirates
By
Micha Moussallem
Published

For several decades, Sharjah has distinguished itself as the cultural capital of the Arab world, a title officially bestowed by UNESCO in 1998 in recognition of the emirate’s commitment to art, culture, and education, as well as its cultural landscape. Under the guidance of Sheikh Sultan bin Mohammed Al Qasimi, who has ruled the emirate since 1972, Sharjah has developed a unique artistic ecosystem in the Middle East, establishing itself as an essential destination for art lovers and cultural professionals alike. The modern history of art in Sharjah is closely tied to the founding of the Sharjah Art Foundation in 2009, under the leadership of Sheikha Hoor Al Qasimi. This multidisciplinary institution supports both local and regional artistic creations while fostering connections with international artists. The foundation regularly stages major exhibitions, organizes workshops in collaboration with partners, and offers research grants and mentorship programs aimed at empowering young artists, women, and innovative creators. The foundation is also responsible for the world-renowned Sharjah Biennial , launched in 1993, which attracts thousands of visitors and showcases works reflecting social and artistic transformations across the Arab world and beyond. The latest edition, in 2025, titled “To Carry,” brought together more than 200 artists from diverse backgrounds, who addressed pressing contemporary issues and engaged in cross-cultural dialogue. Sharjah has also invested heavily in preserving and revitalizing its architectural heritage. The historic Al Mareijah district hosts several museums and art spaces nestled within beautifully restored traditional houses, offering visitors the chance to engage with contemporary works while immersing themselves in the emirate’s historic urban architecture. At the heart of the cultural scene stands the Sharjah Art Museum , one of the Gulf’s largest museums. It provides free access to a wide range of exhibitions, from classical Arab paintings to contemporary photography, making art accessible to all audiences. Beyond these key institutions, Sharjah is home to many other notable landmarks, such as the Barjeel Art Foundation , founded to showcase the private collection of Sultan Sooud Al Qassemi; the Maraya Art Centre , dedicated to visual and digital arts; and the Sharjah Museum of Islamic Civilization , which highlights the richness of traditional Islamic art. Complementing these are dozens of independent galleries and studios that further diversify the emirate’s cultural landscape, fostering exchanges between artists, curators, and the public. A steady flow of events and project calls reflects Sharjah’s proactive cultural policy, which promotes innovation, training, and artistic experimentation. Sharjah’s cultural vision strives to democratize access to art and shape an open and engaged society. Art initiatives are often complemented by conferences, concerts, film screenings, and retrospectives on prominent Arab artists such as Tarek Al Ghoussein or Hassan Sharif, while consistently welcoming European, American, and Asian creators. While deeply rooted in local and Arab traditions, Sharjah’s artistic influence resonates internationally. Close collaborations with global cultural institutions—including UNESCO—and the involvement of artists from the Arab diaspora amplify the emirate’s cultural outreach. The UNESCO-Sharjah Prize for Arab Culture , created in 1998, epitomizes this partnership by rewarding two personalities, groups, or institutions each year for their exceptional contribution to the promotion of Arab arts and culture. The emirate’s relentless vitality in cultural promotion has earned it global recognition, including the title of Islamic Culture Capital in 2014 by the Organization of Islamic Cooperation and World Book Capital in 2019 by UNESCO. Balancing tradition and modernity, East and West, Sharjah has taken on the challenge of shaping a dynamic and innovative artistic hub. Its ambitious programming, celebration of diversity, and collaboration with international artists and institutions continue to cement its role as a global pioneer in Arab culture.

“The Iranian Empire”: Iraq, an Open Wound; Gaza, Palestinian Strategic Depth (4/5)

For a long time, Iraq was the keystone of the Islamic Republic of Iran’s geostrategic maneuvers and ambitions. Without Iraq, nothing holds together: neither the land corridor to Syria, nor the sanctions-busting economy, nor the network of militias that provided Iran with strategic depth in the Gulf. Powerful Shiite militias (the PMF), financed, trained, and supervised by the Revolutionary Guards, controlled for years the border areas of al-Qaim/Bukamal, through which weapons, fighters, and technologies transited toward Syria and Lebanon. The Iraqi government, wavering, constantly oscillated between Washington and Tehran, yet Iranian leverage remained massive. Today, Iraq has become a field of contradictions: U.S. pressure is increasing to sanction pro-Iranian networks; militias have been weakened by the disorganization of the Syrian front; the recent internal dispute over the classification of Hezbollah and the Houthis—placed on and then removed from terrorist lists within a few days—clearly reveals confusion; and, last but not least, an Iraqi nationalism is taking shape that rejects Iranian interference as much as American dominance. Baghdad is now walking a tightrope between Washington, Tehran, and Riyadh. Tehran retains real and essential influence there, but no longer the “corridor” that made Iraq a natural extension of its defensive architecture. The Iraqi link still exists; but it no longer structures the regional space. Gaza, or the Palestinian Depth of the Iranian Axis There remains Gaza. Why this geopolitical attachment to the Palestinian card, beyond the political asset it had represented since 2006—namely, a Sunni extension of Iran and a bargaining chip with the West over the nuclear issue, as a tool of pressure on Israel? To understand Gaza within the Iranian system, one must dismantle the myth: Hamas is not an Iranian creation. Hamas is the Palestinian offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood, and its establishment was clearly facilitated by Israel in order to create a counterweight to Fatah and the Palestinian Authority, to divide Palestinian ranks, and to justify the continuation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict on the grounds of the existence of an extremist terrorist actor. Between 1990 and 2000, Hamas gradually moved closer to Iran and Hezbollah, against the backdrop of its rejection of the Oslo Accords. In 2007, the takeover of Gaza at Fatah’s expense increased its growing dependence on Iranian support at all levels. To be sure, Hamas is not Hezbollah—which is a direct emanation of the Pasdaran through Lebanese intermediaries. It retains ideological and tactical autonomy—but it is fully embedded in Iran’s strategy. For Tehran, Gaza serves three functions. First, it constitutes a permanent internal front against Israel. The Gaza Strip is unavoidable for Tel Aviv: enclosed and explosive, it is impossible to neutralize politically without a colossal human and military cost. The systematic destruction of the enclave and the methodical elimination of its inhabitants since October 2023 have failed to crush Hamas. The conflict ties down part of the Israeli army, prevents Israel from freely projecting power across the region, and opens a permanent breach in Israel’s internal security… but, paradoxically, it allows Benjamin Netanyahu to remain in power despite the corruption charges against him. Second, Gaza provides Palestinian legitimacy to the Iranian narrative—a function also performed by Hezbollah’s discourse. Without Gaza, Iran cannot claim to be the champion of the Palestinian cause. With Gaza, the “resistance” narrative takes on substance—the rockets fired at Tel Aviv and Ashkelon supplying the imagery necessary for Iranian grandstanding. It is the perfect distraction, diverting Arab populations from what matters most: the grip of the vilayat-e faqih over the Middle East, in the name of restoring a mythical imperial golden age. Next article: Israel and the alliance of minorities: a paradoxical stability (4/5) Read on the same topic “The Iranian Empire”: Anatomy of a Collapse (1/5) “The Iranian Empire”: The Houthi Gamble in Yemen (2/5) “The Iranian Empire”: The Land Corridor and the Ambition of a Levantine Empire (3/5)

Please Forget
By
Jawad Pakradouni
Published

For many, forgetting is a coping mechanism that helps them overcome hardship. But it is also the means—and often the goal—sought by wrongdoers eager to erase their tracks. A population with the memory of a goldfish is every fisherman’s dream: a form of collective Alzheimer’s that guarantees a quiet life, smooth and undisturbed. Lebanon is perhaps the most striking example. Recently, some financial institutions have begun offering interest-bearing returns on cash deposits—an expression we had not heard since 2019. For many, this is worse than the apple in the Garden of Eden: Adam and Eve were naked before taking a bite, whereas we succumbed to these usurious interest rates, which led us straight into erosion and ruin. These advertisements are shocking. They suggest that before 2019 we should have been more vigilant about reckless investments—decisions made without our consent by the banks themselves. The very banks that once sold us peace of mind, a radiant future, and slogans even more saccharine than those of the Soviet regime. And yet, although it is true that the state is the primary black hole, some media outlets still manage to absolve banks of all responsibility, as if their owners were above suspicion. Curiously, every one of these bankers moved their money abroad. At least Philip Morris had the decency to consume his own product—though it killed him. Thanks to this goldfish syndrome that has turned us Lebanese into the dupes of a farce, political leaders and banks are working hand in hand to erase the past and open a “new page.” Had banks been consistent, they would have sued the state years ago. But in this chaotic political-financial entanglement, it is impossible to separate truth from falsehood, and reality remains buried in the brothels of accounting. We are being asked to start all over again—a new version of Kipling’s If , based on the idea that we Lebanese have “seen worse.” And this farce works beautifully thanks to two factors: indecency and indifference. Indecency defines those who robbed us and now flaunt the fruits of our labor. The more contemptuous these criminals become, the more their entourage of useful idiots and social climbers grows. Some transferred everything abroad during the crisis; others erase public debt with the stroke of a pen—that is to say, our savings. All of this unfolds amid near-total indifference, fueled by a foolish concept called resilience. This ability—more powerful than any sedative—wipes the memory of those whose sole obsession is to live as if nothing ever happened, a permanent carpe diem . Indecency and indifference: the twin pillars of this banana republic called Lebanon, which must remain unchanged—especially during holidays or summer seasons. Had Kipling witnessed these events, he would have been appalled by our capacity to forget, and might have written: If you can see the work of your life destroyed And, without a word—out of shame—begin again; See your savings stolen without shame or alibi, And speak of the future against sunsets and daiquiris; If you can rebuild your home, Devastated on an August 4, Stay silent and pay without raising a doubt; Knowing the state, like a spade, Will return tomorrow to dig in and tighten its grip on your throat; If you can lose everything without ever saying no, Take your servitude for quiet strength, And start over without blinking, thinking yourself resilient, Then you will truly know Lebanon, And you will be, alas, a true fool, my son.